It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Berning Trumpeters vs The Establishment

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Citizen Baba
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Citizen Baba » Sat Nov 05, 2016 12:43 am

More LS fantasy land.

You're too old for this, LS.

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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Lost Soul » Sat Nov 05, 2016 12:51 am

Citizen Baba wrote:More LS fantasy land.

You're too old for this, LS.

Maybe you didn't hear, but the super predators are turning out in early voting in lower proportions than they did for Maobama.

Yet the polls are modeling their turnout as if this was the last election. Which means the polls are over-representing Hillary!

Breathe.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by 2wilzgood » Sat Nov 05, 2016 12:57 am

I need not panic

I have a hillside hovel

Fuck America
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by eric84 » Sat Nov 05, 2016 12:58 am

Is it bad that Alaskan ditchdiggers are so terrible at math?
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Godjira » Sat Nov 05, 2016 1:15 am

Look at this crazy thread. Losty goes completely manic over a 2 point Trump lead, then hides as Hillary strengthens, then goes back into manic mode!

Did he give his handle to Jelly?
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Lost Soul » Sat Nov 05, 2016 1:22 am

You're not breathing, googoo.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by FUUZ » Sat Nov 05, 2016 1:26 am

could Jelly be on a Secret Mission to save the world from Hillary?
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Godjira » Sat Nov 05, 2016 3:32 am

Lost Soul wrote:You're not breathing, googoo.


You're transforming into a hideous parody of human life.

Chillax homey.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Dr. Kenneth Noisewater » Sat Nov 05, 2016 3:53 am

This is the same crowd that said Romney was going to crush Obama.

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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Lost Soul » Sat Nov 05, 2016 6:31 am

As you all know, Michigan was tied today.

Now Pennsylvania is tied. http://harperpolling.com/polls/pennsylvania-statewide-poll--11-2-3#PresidentTIE

Colorado is tied. http://www.denverpost.com/2016/11/02/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-tied-in-colorado-new-poll-shows/

Nevada is tied. http://www.lasvegasnow.com/news/nvelection-8-news-now-poll-finds-clinton-trump-races-tied

And New Hampshire is tied. https://www.uml.edu/docs/TOPLINE-NH-GENERAL-20161103_tcm18-264691.pdf

If you've been keeping track, you'll know that Drumpf only needs to win one of these states.

That's right folks, the Magic Weiner has trumped the Magic D.

This is the end.


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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by jedgarandclyde » Sat Nov 05, 2016 12:10 pm

Trump as the leader of the free world?

A real 'Ugly American'.

Who wants to keep the 'huddled masses' out of the US, and if Jesus came to move to the US he would keep him out also.

God help us.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by foolsprogress » Sat Nov 05, 2016 12:14 pm

jedgarandclyde wrote:Who wants to keep the 'huddled masses' out of the US, and if Jesus came to move to the US he would keep him out also.

I don't think poetry is necessarily the best basis for immigration policy. And as Jesus was a Jew with unique qualifications, I am sure he could have gotten a proper visa even under Trump.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Godjira » Sat Nov 05, 2016 2:43 pm

Maybe now they'll let Jewish immigrants in, but 80-100 years ago- they were describing them in terms no different than Trump describes Muslims and Mexicans.

Trump's a rat.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by jedgarandclyde » Sat Nov 05, 2016 4:05 pm

What in the earth are you going on about foolsprogress?

Is it not what Trump is exactly talking about?

Is he not talking about building a wall to keep these kinds of people out.

And has he said more that once, that he will keep anybody out that is from any area where terrorism happens?

Do you live in some sort of a parallel universe where Trump has not said these things, and kind of things?

Do you also believe in Santa?
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by foolsprogress » Sat Nov 05, 2016 5:13 pm

jedgarandclyde wrote:What in the earth are you going on about foolsprogress?

Is it not what Trump is exactly talking about?

Is he not talking about building a wall to keep these kinds of people out.

And has he said more that once, that he will keep anybody out that is from any area where terrorism happens?

Do you live in some sort of a parallel universe where Trump has not said these things, and kind of things?

Do you also believe in Santa?

Jesus wasn't Muslim.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by section8 » Sat Nov 05, 2016 5:57 pm

Nevada politics expert: “Trump is dead” in the state
Per early voting numbers.


When the national media needs to know what’s going on in Nevada politics, they often turn to Las Vegas-based journalist Jon Ralston, who’s developed a strong track record of calling elections in the state.

And now that Nevada early voting has come to a close, Ralston isn’t mincing words about how he sees Trump’s prospects. “Trump is dead,” Ralston tweeted Saturday. He elaborated on his blog that from the early voting numbers so far, the GOP nominee would need a “miracle” to win Nevada at this point.

The polls have tended to put Nevada as a pure toss-up state, and a few recent ones have even shown Trump ahead there. Accordingly, it hasn’t generally been considered part of Clinton’s swing state “firewall.”

But Nevada is a famously difficult state for national pollsters to get right. Its population is transient and many work at night. Furthermore, its population is over one-quarter Hispanic, and it’s often challenging for English-language polls to sample Hispanic voters accurately.

In both of the past two presidential elections, polls underestimated Barack Obama’s eventual margin of victory in the state. And in Harry Reid’s 2010 Senate campaign, the polls utterly whiffed, suggesting he’d lose to his challenger Sharron Angle when he ended up winning by nearly 6 points.

So in previous years, analysts like Ralston have found success in reading tea leaves from Nevada’s early voting numbers instead. And all week, Ralston has been warning of danger signs for Trump. The partisan and geographic breakdown of early voting turnout has looked similar to 2012, when Barack Obama won the state by 6 and a half points. But the final day of early voting Friday was, Ralston writes, “cataclysmic” for Republicans.
Why Ralston believes Trump is doomed in Nevada

Ralston is looking at two main things — the numbers of registered Democrats who have voted compared to registered Republicans, and the geography of the turnout.

Though the statewide early voting numbers aren’t yet finalized, Ralston estimates that registered Democrats will have a 6 point lead on registered Republicans among early voters. Since registered partisans tend to overwhelmingly vote for their own party, Trump probably either needs to dominate among early voters associated with neither party or else make up the gap on election day.

Ralston flags the numbers from Clark County, which contains Las Vegas and three quarters of the state’s population, and where Democrats have drawn much of their support. So far, he writes, 73,000 more registered Democrats turned out than registered Republicans in Clark — and if those voters back their party’s candidates, that’s a big lead in raw votes that will be very difficult for Republicans to overcome with the more sparsely populated counties elsewhere. (In 2012, Obama beat Romney statewide by about 70,000 votes.)

Anecdotally, there appears to have been very high turnout among Hispanic voters in Clark on Friday, which led Ralston to tweet:

Hispanics waiting on line for hours to vote against Donald Trump in the state that could block him from the presidency is just too much.

We should caution that we do not technically know who these people voted for. If these registered partisans did not vote overwhelmingly for their own party, if non-party affiliated voters break overwhelmingly for one candidate, or if election day turnout looks dramatically different, Ralston’s call might not pan out.

But ballots equivalent to well over two-thirds of the total 2012 turnout in Nevada have already been cast. So if Trump has indeed fallen significantly behind in the early vote, it will be very challenging for him to catch up.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by eric84 » Sat Nov 05, 2016 6:20 pm

Yeah, organization matters when you need to GOTV. That's why I think Hillary will win in close contests.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by section8 » Sat Nov 05, 2016 6:25 pm

Polling tends to miss people who work evenings/nights and weekends. Like half the Las Vegas workforce.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by eric84 » Sat Nov 05, 2016 7:59 pm

I did hear that NV can be uniquely difficult to poll; that may be one the reasons why.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Chi_Rup » Sat Nov 05, 2016 9:19 pm

foolsprogress wrote:I don't think poetry is necessarily the best basis for immigration policy. And as Jesus was a Jew with unique qualifications, I am sure he could have gotten a proper visa even under Trump.


Carpentry is a unique qualification now? Now way an American couldn't do that job.

But to rein in this turn toward the bizarre, jedgar, few politicians of this age or any age would give the benefit of the doubt to an unemployed Middle Eastern tradesman who communicates with God. It's kind of the point of Jesus - The Man don't like him.

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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Lost Soul » Sat Nov 05, 2016 11:15 pm

Rut Roh!

The super predators are turning out at an 18.46% clip for Trump in early voting.

This translates into a 2% bump for Trump over the polling models being used.

It's panic time, Stewbies!

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/11/05/trump-gains-african-american-support/

P.S.- Thanks for the $50, googoo.
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It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Godjira » Sat Nov 05, 2016 11:30 pm

Just mail your check boy, and make sure you have enough money in your account. It'll be really bad if it bounces.

Anyway, If by some rightarded stroke of luck Trump gets 5% of the African American vote, spend the money on food- not liquor.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by jedgarandclyde » Sun Nov 06, 2016 12:38 am

Of course Jesus wasn't foolsprogress, did i ever say he was you goose?

Trump has said at his Nazi style rallys, that he will stop any body coming to the US that comes from area's that terrorists come from, did not he say this more that once?

Does Jesus not come from the ME, so that rules him out, understand?

I wonder, do you vote in the election?
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Nines » Sun Nov 06, 2016 12:42 am

jedgarandclyde wrote:I wonder, do you vote in the election?

Aren't you Australian? Doesn't seem to stop you from spouting off.

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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Stephen_Dedalus » Sun Nov 06, 2016 12:46 am

Was the dear aggressive at thatched time?

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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by sodelicious » Sun Nov 06, 2016 1:39 am

I just finished Bill Maher's show from last night, and you can tell the D's are worried that Trump is going to win. It is Panic time.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Godjira » Sun Nov 06, 2016 1:45 am

The Trumpettes have been panicking the whole time. They were even screaming about a fixed election 2 months before Election Day.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Jim-2012 » Sun Nov 06, 2016 2:51 am

Election-11-5-16.jpg
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Godjira » Sun Nov 06, 2016 3:29 am

Thanks Jim. That scale of 0 to 100 explains why Trump often leads the LA Times poll when he trails horribly in the rest.

The majority of Trump voters want to drive off the cliff at top speed, and they will vote Trump at 100% confidence.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by foolsprogress » Sun Nov 06, 2016 7:29 am

Chi_Rup wrote:
foolsprogress wrote:I don't think poetry is necessarily the best basis for immigration policy. And as Jesus was a Jew with unique qualifications, I am sure he could have gotten a proper visa even under Trump.

Carpentry is a unique qualification now? Now way an American couldn't do that job...

Well, that and being the Son of God. And not Muslim.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by polardude1 » Sun Nov 06, 2016 10:57 am

Well, that and being the Son of God. And not Muslim.


Well, have connections to higher ups will always get you to the front of the line.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Lost Soul » Sun Nov 06, 2016 8:36 pm

sodelicious wrote:I just finished Bill Maher's show from last night, and you can tell the D's are worried that Trump is going to win. It is Panic time.

Big time.

That thing was a circle jerk. Four Dumbocrats (two Canucks, FFS) sitting around a table saying woe is us.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Lost Soul » Sun Nov 06, 2016 8:38 pm

On another note, the Hilldebeest will be doing her final campaign stop tomorrow in Michigan, a place where the 'polls' say she leads by 5%.

BWAHAHAHA!
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by sodelicious » Sun Nov 06, 2016 10:09 pm

Lost Soul wrote:
sodelicious wrote:I jus
t finished Bill Maher's show from last night, and you can tell the D's are worried that Trump is going to win. It is Panic time.

Big time.

That thing was a circle jerk. Four Dumbocrats (two Canucks, FFS) sitting around a table saying woe is us.


All three were born in Canada, though Jennifer Granholm probably doesn't have Canadian citizenship anymore considering she left Canada when she was 4 years old.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by avalon_ » Sun Nov 06, 2016 10:32 pm

Are the EC allowed to participate in early voting?

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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Chip_Oatley » Sun Nov 06, 2016 10:47 pm

avalon_ wrote:Are the EC allowed to participate in early voting?


The what?

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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by section8 » Sun Nov 06, 2016 10:48 pm

Pantsuit Nation has 1.3 million members.
This is the only musical: the mouth. And hopefully the brain attached to the mouth. Right? The brain, more important than the mouth, is the brain. The brain is much more important.

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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by avalon_ » Sun Nov 06, 2016 10:54 pm

electoral college

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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Higgs Bossom » Sun Nov 06, 2016 10:55 pm

The walls are closing in on Lost Soul and Jelly Belly.

Pantsuit Nation is coming.



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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Chip_Oatley » Sun Nov 06, 2016 11:05 pm

avalon_ wrote:electoral college


That's not how the Electoral College works.

http://www.npr.org/2016/11/06/500660424 ... k-about-it

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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by avalon_ » Sun Nov 06, 2016 11:16 pm

Thank you for the link. It explains a lot, but I'm still confused. They won't vote until Dec 19. So it's just projections based on the popular vote that we see prior?

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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Lost Soul » Sun Nov 06, 2016 11:21 pm

avalon_ wrote:Thank you for the link. It explains a lot, but I'm still confused. They won't vote until Dec 19. So it's just projections based on the popular vote that we see prior?

Yes, except they aren't projections after Tuesday. They are facts.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Chip_Oatley » Sun Nov 06, 2016 11:26 pm

avalon_ wrote:Thank you for the link. It explains a lot, but I'm still confused. They won't vote until Dec 19. So it's just projections based on the popular vote that we see prior?


Not the overall popular vote--the popular vote in each state (or Maine, Nebraska, whatever--a split). The winner in most states gets all of the electoral votes for that state.

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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by avalon_ » Sun Nov 06, 2016 11:46 pm

Thank you

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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by sodelicious » Mon Nov 07, 2016 12:58 am

Speaking of the election Avalon, do you get a vote on Measure's C & D regarding the increase in the Hotel Tax to fund a new stadium for the Chargers?
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by avalon_ » Mon Nov 07, 2016 1:24 am

No, I do not. There is so much on this ballot. I've spent this week trying to understand the many propositions. I'm really confused about Prop 64, marijuana legalization. People in the medical marijuana industry oppose it, because they say it will make it unaffordable for those that need it for medicinal purposes and for some other reasons.

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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by sodelicious » Mon Nov 07, 2016 5:47 am

Ya, I was wondering if that measure was on the ballot in North County. I've looked on Ballotpedia.org and I can't believe how many and utter nonsense some states have as ballot measure, not to mention locally.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by jedgarandclyde » Mon Nov 07, 2016 4:26 pm

Yes i am Australian Nines, and do pardon me for 'spouting off', but i will talk about anything i like, thanks!!

As Olof Palme once said 'Where you were born does not condem you to silence'.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Lost Soul » Tue Nov 08, 2016 1:06 am

A final panic meme for the Dumbs on this election eve is that the most accurate poll in the last three elections, the IBD poll, has Trump up 2%.

You heard it here first.

Voting fraud excepted, of course.
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Re: It's Panic Time, Stewbies!

Post by Godjira » Tue Nov 08, 2016 1:21 am

It wasn't the most accurate poll in the last election.
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